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Red29
18628.3
15946.9
42111.8
Blue39
7527.6
188010.2
12305.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14180501001502002939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
421
Unranked
11.81.2
4.05.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1880
Unranked
10.21.8
4.56.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1862
Unranked
8.31.2
4.55.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
752
Unranked
7.61.8
8.710.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1594
Unranked
6.91.2
6.17.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1230
Unranked
5.71.1
4.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End