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Red59
49423.1
101812.1
3827.2
Blue34
16469.7
12742.7
14113.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2621010304050605934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
23.12.8
11.013.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
141
Unranked
13.31.0
10.611.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1018
Unranked
12.12.8
6.39.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1646
Unranked
9.71.0
6.37.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
382
Unranked
7.22.8
8.211.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
1274
Unranked
2.71.0
5.06.0
Auto
Teleop
End