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Red9
69510.7
70322.9
16436.1
Blue12
4618.7
6776.7
937.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32220104050607080912

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
703
Unranked
22.91.8
15.914.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.2
461
Unranked
8.70.9
6.96.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
695
Unranked
10.71.8
6.04.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
93
Unranked
7.60.9
10.19.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1643
Unranked
6.11.8
8.87.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
677
Unranked
6.70.9
5.95.0
Auto
Teleop
End