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Red26
17718.7
16342.9
4336.0
Blue19
139110.5
164711.8
2049.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18290104050602619

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
Unranked
18.70.5
11.011.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
1647
Unranked
11.80.6
10.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
433
Unranked
6.00.4
4.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
1391
Unranked
10.50.4
9.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1634
Unranked
2.90.5
3.74.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
204
Unranked
9.40.7
7.66.9
Auto
Teleop
End