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Red38
27222.8
3045.7
8168.9
Blue0
17126.7
1049.9
11135.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292901020253035380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
Unranked
22.80.5
13.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
104
Unranked
9.92.4
11.28.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
816
Unranked
8.90.8
9.610.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1712
Unranked
6.72.4
8.86.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
304
Unranked
5.70.8
5.56.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1113
Unranked
5.32.4
9.06.5
Auto
Teleop
End