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Red41
16342.9
1049.9
10322.9
Blue25
56320.1
139110.5
8168.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354102060804125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
Unranked
22.90.3
22.923.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
563
Unranked
20.10.9
21.120.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
104
Unranked
9.90.4
8.89.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1391
Unranked
10.50.8
8.88.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1634
Unranked
2.90.4
4.34.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
816
Unranked
8.91.3
10.49.1
Auto
Teleop
End