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Red40
4445.2
36525.9
37916.0
Blue33
4336.0
5628.0
3166.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364302060804033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
25.90.2
20.120.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
56
Unranked
28.00.5
28.327.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
379
Unranked
16.00.2
12.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
316
Unranked
6.60.5
8.47.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
444
Unranked
5.20.3
3.94.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
433
Unranked
6.00.5
5.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End