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Red9
13707.6
17314.1
11135.3
Blue40
56320.1
4336.0
28414.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27340102040506070940

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
14.11.6
13.512.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
563
Unranked
20.10.4
20.220.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1370
Unranked
7.60.9
8.57.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
284
Unranked
14.20.6
8.08.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1113
Unranked
5.31.6
5.84.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
433
Unranked
6.00.3
5.05.3
Auto
Teleop
End