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Red17
3045.7
36525.9
16403.3
Blue25
15714.0
2049.4
17126.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33331020304050601725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
25.90.8
20.319.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.9
157
Unranked
14.00.4
13.813.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
304
Unranked
5.71.3
8.06.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
204
Unranked
9.40.7
10.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1640
Unranked
3.31.3
4.53.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1712
Unranked
6.70.7
9.58.8
Auto
Teleop
End