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Red12
637.9
17277.7
13919.5
Blue32
8688.7
39520.0
1176.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26310204060801232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
Unranked
9.51.2
11.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.6
395
Unranked
20.00.1
17.317.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
63
Unranked
7.91.2
8.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
868
Unranked
8.70.1
8.58.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1727
Unranked
7.71.2
6.55.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
117
Unranked
6.20.1
4.95.0
Auto
Teleop
End