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Red17
13866.6
4232.6
29118.2
Blue40
39312.2
12811.9
8596.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232401020304050601740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
Unranked
18.20.5
12.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
393
Unranked
12.21.4
6.37.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1386
Unranked
6.60.5
5.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
128
Unranked
11.91.4
9.510.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
423
Unranked
2.60.5
5.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
859
Unranked
6.61.4
8.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End