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Red22
19119.9
37817.1
1531-0.3
Blue0
1765-3.5
6399.2
46710.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402006080100220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
Unranked
19.91.3
16.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.7
467
Unranked
10.21.9
8.06.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
378
Unranked
17.11.3
15.714.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
639
Unranked
9.21.9
11.59.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1531
Unranked
-0.31.3
5.03.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1765
Unranked
-3.51.9
3.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End