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Red19
27114.9
22924.2
14511.0
Blue8
151113.4
15677.3
14500.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3125020406080100198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
Unranked
24.20.9
14.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
1511
Unranked
13.41.5
11.610.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
271
Unranked
14.90.9
9.99.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
1567
Unranked
7.31.5
8.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
145
Unranked
11.00.9
5.44.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
1450
Unranked
0.01.5
5.23.7
Auto
Teleop
End