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Red16
17136.5
159115.6
18816.7
Blue25
2114.1
190111.5
158511.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30300501001502002503003504001625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
Unranked
16.71.2
14.613.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
1585
Unranked
11.60.4
14.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1591
Unranked
15.61.2
5.64.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1901
Unranked
11.50.4
9.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1713
Unranked
6.51.2
10.19.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
211
Unranked
4.10.4
6.15.7
Auto
Teleop
End