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Qual 472006 Finger Lakes Regional
Red33
18816.7
15519.1
14511.0
Blue6
150711.3
158511.6
1531-0.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35200406080336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
Unranked
16.70.0
14.5→14.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.2
1585
Unranked
11.61.1
11.0→9.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
145
Unranked
11.00.0
9.0→9.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.3
1507
Unranked
11.31.1
11.7→10.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1551
Unranked
9.10.0
9.4→9.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.4
1531
Unranked
-0.31.1
-0.8→-1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—