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Red54
25010.3
46710.2
159115.6
Blue18
77212.0
14500.0
6399.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352004060801005418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1591
Unranked
15.61.4
13.915.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
772
Unranked
12.00.3
10.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
250
Unranked
10.31.4
9.210.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
639
Unranked
9.20.3
10.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
467
Unranked
10.21.4
10.011.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.1
1450
Unranked
0.00.3
0.60.3
Auto
Teleop
End