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Red41
2114.1
22924.2
193010.9
Blue8
14057.0
1765-3.5
155916.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37260206080100418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
Unranked
24.20.3
22.522.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.0
1559
Unranked
16.11.3
18.116.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1930
Unranked
10.90.3
11.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
1405
Unranked
7.01.3
9.38.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
211
Unranked
4.10.3
2.02.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
1765
Unranked
-3.51.3
0.3-1.0
Auto
Teleop
End