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Red32
19386.1
196010.6
10729.6
Blue19
167110.0
13239.2
11479.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20190103040503219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1960
Unranked
10.61.1
5.86.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1671
Unranked
10.00.2
5.04.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1072
Unranked
9.60.7
8.79.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1147
Unranked
9.80.2
6.76.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1938
Unranked
6.11.1
4.25.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1323
Unranked
9.20.2
9.19.0
Auto
Teleop
End