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Red20
138813.4
11511.8
16629.8
Blue49
24512.6
14227.5
76614.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424010203040502049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1388
Unranked
13.40.3
11.010.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
766
Unranked
14.21.2
9.110.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
115
Unranked
11.80.2
6.46.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
245
Unranked
12.61.5
8.710.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1662
Unranked
9.80.3
5.75.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1422
Unranked
7.52.0
7.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End