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Red38
16787.5
4814.6
76614.2
Blue13
10729.6
95611.7
19742.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212901040506070803813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
766
Unranked
14.20.8
11.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
956
Unranked
11.70.7
14.213.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1678
Unranked
7.51.4
6.67.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1072
Unranked
9.60.7
9.48.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
481
Unranked
4.60.8
3.94.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1974
Unranked
2.41.2
4.33.1
Auto
Teleop
End