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Red63
56812.5
131811.4
138813.4
Blue6
16952.4
172613.2
16629.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3621010304050607080636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1388
Unranked
13.42.4
12.915.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1726
Unranked
13.20.9
11.710.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
568
Unranked
12.52.4
10.913.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1662
Unranked
9.81.4
7.86.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1318
Unranked
11.41.4
10.712.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
1695
Unranked
2.41.4
3.92.5
Auto
Teleop
End