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Red32
145813.6
196010.6
11412.9
Blue2
7535.6
85218.4
11479.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2835020406080322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1458
Unranked
13.60.1
11.511.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
852
Unranked
18.42.7
17.915.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
114
Unranked
12.90.1
10.911.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1147
Unranked
9.82.7
9.46.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1960
Unranked
10.60.2
6.87.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
753
Unranked
5.61.6
6.85.1
Auto
Teleop
End