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Red49
16787.5
3689.6
135115.8
Blue25
4814.6
64914.4
19386.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3119010405060704925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1351
Unranked
15.81.0
13.614.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
649
Unranked
14.40.2
12.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
368
Unranked
9.61.0
7.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1938
Unranked
6.10.3
3.43.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1678
Unranked
7.51.6
7.99.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
481
Unranked
4.60.2
4.74.9
Auto
Teleop
End