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Red42
11511.8
70114.3
19665.2
Blue0
16787.5
19742.4
196010.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171701020304050420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
Unranked
14.31.6
5.26.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
1960
Unranked
10.66.1
10.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
115
Unranked
11.81.6
5.06.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1678
Unranked
7.53.0
7.54.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1966
Unranked
5.22.9
5.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
1974
Unranked
2.42.1
2.44.5
Auto
Teleop
End