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Red4
8148.1
8415.8
19386.1
Blue41
3413.0
7519.3
138813.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17290406080100441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
814
Unranked
8.11.2
8.26.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
1388
Unranked
13.41.1
8.69.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1938
Unranked
6.11.4
6.14.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
34
Unranked
13.00.8
11.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
841
Unranked
5.80.9
4.63.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
751
Unranked
9.30.8
7.07.9
Auto
Teleop
End