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Red11
7517.0
58118.0
1927.7
Blue12
64910.7
1155.0
16416.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2223010304050601112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
Unranked
18.01.0
9.18.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
649
Unranked
10.70.9
4.94.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
192
Unranked
7.71.0
7.86.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1641
Unranked
6.50.9
9.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
751
Unranked
7.01.0
5.64.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
115
Unranked
5.00.9
8.57.6
Auto
Teleop
End