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Red1
2536.3
14586.4
88.7
Blue38
11414.1
3688.6
1007.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23310406080100138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
Unranked
8.71.9
9.77.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
114
Unranked
14.10.5
11.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1458
Unranked
6.41.9
8.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
368
Unranked
8.60.7
12.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
253
Unranked
6.31.9
6.44.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
100
Unranked
7.40.7
6.87.5
Auto
Teleop
End