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Red23
18587.5
191312.2
18637.4
Blue33
46212.7
14298.8
17505.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1725010304050602333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1913
Unranked
12.20.4
6.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
462
Unranked
12.70.8
9.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1858
Unranked
7.50.4
5.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1429
Unranked
8.80.8
7.07.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1863
Unranked
7.40.4
5.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1750
Unranked
5.10.8
7.38.1
Auto
Teleop
End