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Red5
18652.9
16427.3
19761.8
Blue9
18019.3
12555.5
18671.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161901030405059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1642
Unranked
7.31.0
4.73.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1801
Unranked
9.34.1
9.35.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1865
Unranked
2.92.1
2.95.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
1255
Unranked
5.50.8
6.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1976
Unranked
1.83.2
1.85.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1867
Unranked
1.53.6
1.55.1
Auto
Teleop
End