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Red1
4343.6
18671.5
41814.3
Blue25
4414.7
18889.2
18587.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31180104050607080125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
Unranked
14.32.3
16.414.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
1888
Unranked
9.20.4
6.77.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
434
Unranked
3.62.3
8.56.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
1858
Unranked
7.50.4
7.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1867
Unranked
1.52.3
4.21.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
441
Unranked
4.70.4
6.06.4
Auto
Teleop
End