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Red45
92210.3
46212.7
14847.6
Blue13
15618.5
14808.1
4769.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2431010204050604513

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
462
Unranked
12.71.7
11.312.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
476
Unranked
9.21.4
9.37.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
922
Unranked
10.31.7
7.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1561
Unranked
8.51.4
10.79.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1484
Unranked
7.61.7
6.68.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1480
Unranked
8.11.4
9.88.4
Auto
Teleop
End