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Red15
19123.0
17427.9
12555.5
Blue5
13260.7
576.7
17505.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171501020304050155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1742
Unranked
7.90.1
6.36.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
57
Unranked
6.70.5
5.95.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1255
Unranked
5.50.1
5.55.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1750
Unranked
5.10.8
6.25.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1912
Unranked
3.00.1
4.74.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1326
Unranked
0.70.8
3.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End