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Red41
18388.6
188713.2
3727.7
Blue11
15716.0
14259.6
99711.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323010203040504111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1887
Unranked
13.21.5
7.28.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
997
Unranked
11.21.0
9.38.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1838
Unranked
8.61.5
8.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1425
Unranked
9.61.0
9.18.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
372
Unranked
7.71.5
7.59.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1571
Unranked
6.01.0
4.43.4
Auto
Teleop
End