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Red21
128016.7
95511.3
183910.8
Blue16
10876.6
129411.9
16246.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261704060801002116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1280
Unranked
16.70.3
12.312.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1294
Unranked
11.90.2
6.86.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
955
Unranked
11.30.3
7.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
1624
Unranked
6.60.2
4.13.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1839
Unranked
10.80.3
5.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1087
Unranked
6.60.2
7.37.1
Auto
Teleop
End