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Red2
9812.2
18234.6
18433.2
Blue23
7536.0
18408.6
95613.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18210103040506070223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1823
Unranked
4.61.3
6.55.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
956
Unranked
13.40.2
7.98.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1843
Unranked
3.21.3
5.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
1840
Unranked
8.60.2
4.54.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
981
Unranked
2.21.3
5.94.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
753
Unranked
6.00.2
8.08.2
Auto
Teleop
End