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Red6
14259.6
18408.6
9812.2
Blue21
11411.1
135917.5
10876.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23290406080100621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
Unranked
9.61.5
10.69.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.9
1359
Unranked
17.50.6
10.39.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1840
Unranked
8.64.1
8.64.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
114
Unranked
11.10.6
10.39.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
981
Unranked
2.21.5
7.45.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
1087
Unranked
6.60.6
8.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End