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Red26
129411.9
95613.4
12585.2
Blue27
99711.2
18234.6
17007.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20210103040502627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
956
Unranked
13.40.4
7.57.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
997
Unranked
11.20.5
8.89.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1294
Unranked
11.90.4
6.46.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
1700
Unranked
7.70.5
5.76.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1258
Unranked
5.20.4
7.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1823
Unranked
4.61.9
4.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End