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Red30
8307.9
11898.1
168017.8
Blue10
12814.7
7816.2
13345.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322404060803010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1680
Unranked
17.80.0
17.217.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
781
Unranked
6.21.1
11.610.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1189
Unranked
8.10.0
7.27.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1334
Unranked
5.11.1
6.95.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
830
Unranked
7.90.0
6.56.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1281
Unranked
4.71.1
6.14.9
Auto
Teleop
End