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Red53
130518.9
85412.1
7719.9
Blue20
10849.6
93111.7
7583.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3333202530354045505320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1305
Unranked
18.91.6
19.120.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
931
Unranked
11.70.6
14.313.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
854
Unranked
12.11.6
8.910.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1084
Unranked
9.61.0
13.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
771
Unranked
9.91.6
4.96.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
758
Unranked
3.21.0
4.83.9
Auto
Teleop
End