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Red2
15585.8
4536.8
168017.8
Blue23
130518.9
18466.6
18156.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3532020406080223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1680
Unranked
17.81.6
19.517.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1305
Unranked
18.90.5
18.117.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
453
Unranked
6.81.6
8.56.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1846
Unranked
6.60.5
7.26.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1558
Unranked
5.81.8
6.34.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1815
Unranked
6.40.5
6.96.4
Auto
Teleop
End