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Red4
49424.6
99720.8
25451.3
Blue35
38619.1
8521.8
10721.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114540150200250300435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#12
51.31.7
54.652.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.6
85
#7
21.80.4
21.320.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
494
#1
24.61.7
27.926.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
107
#33
21.70.4
21.320.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
997
#26
20.81.7
24.122.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
386
#4
19.10.4
18.618.2
Auto
Teleop
End