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Red6
99720.8
49424.6
25451.3
Blue102
38619.1
10721.7
8521.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1085301502002503003506102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#12
51.31.6
52.951.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 29.6
85
#7
21.80.7
20.921.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
494
#1
24.61.6
26.224.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
107
#33
21.70.7
20.821.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
997
#26
20.81.6
22.420.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
386
#4
19.10.7
18.218.9
Auto
Teleop
End