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Red128
7169.2
2552.1
16870.8
Blue5
1349.7
21701.5
112420.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6171001502002501285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#6
52.14.9
51.055.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.0
20.10.7
9.89.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
716
#3
9.24.5
5.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
134
#33
9.70.5
2.62.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1687
#28
0.86.2
-2.14.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2170
#49
1.50.7
1.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End