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Red16
21685.7
1739.3
839-0.5
Blue7
9053.7
17332.9
1786.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11140203040506070167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#32
9.30.4
9.29.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
178
#38
6.60.5
10.19.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2168
#16
5.70.4
4.85.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
905
#43
3.70.5
1.20.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
839
#11
-0.50.4
-3.1-2.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
1733
#10
2.90.5
2.01.5
Auto
Teleop
End