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Red117
14856.8
6724.7
4613.5
Blue143
11624.6
165.9
3339.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97430150200250300350117143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
Unranked
56.81.3
54.956.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
33
Unranked
39.64.7
21.025.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
67
Unranked
24.71.3
28.730.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
116
Unranked
24.64.7
23.828.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
461
Unranked
3.51.3
7.48.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
16
Unranked
5.94.7
4.99.5
Auto
Teleop
End