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Red4
173233.1
1766-3.4
21713.4
Blue26
29217.9
5379.4
12618.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31520100150200250300426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
Unranked
33.11.5
24.122.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.5
126
Unranked
18.61.2
13.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2171
Unranked
3.41.5
7.66.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.5
292
Unranked
17.91.2
18.817.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1766
Unranked
-3.42.0
1.7-0.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
537
Unranked
9.41.2
17.216.0
Auto
Teleop
End