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Red2
19512.9
15732.8
22159.8
Blue0
22577.1
15794.6
19577.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1720040608010012020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2215
#15
9.81.1
9.48.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1957
#26
7.61.3
6.45.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1951
#19
2.91.0
3.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
2257
#18
7.11.5
7.15.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1573
#31
2.81.0
4.03.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1579
#21
4.61.3
6.35.0
Auto
Teleop
End