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Red2
22121.2
19373.2
194717.7
Blue8
22141.7
220912.1
157423.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24430608010012014028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.71.8
19.517.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
23.92.4
20.918.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1937
#32
3.21.8
3.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
12.12.2
14.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2212
#24
1.21.8
3.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1.72.2
5.53.3
Auto
Teleop
End