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Red128
18022.5
47618.7
87612.3
Blue15
17779.6
18257.5
18470.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3316040608010012014016012815

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
476
#7
18.72.0
17.719.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
1777
#10
9.60.1
9.79.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
876
#5
12.31.8
11.413.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
7.50.1
7.57.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1802
#18
2.52.2
1.43.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1847
#23
0.80.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End