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Red8
180614.1
21659.2
2004-2.8
Blue30
19816.9
1611.6
20445.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2526010203040506070830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.10.4
15.815.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
16
#25
11.60.1
12.112.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.20.5
11.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1981
#21
6.90.1
7.37.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2004
#20
-2.80.4
-1.2-1.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
5.40.1
6.06.1
Auto
Teleop
End